THE IMPACT OF EXTERNAL DEBT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ON THE EXAMPLE OF ASIAN COUNTRIES
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Keywords

external debt
GDP per capita growth
fixed effects regression model

How to Cite

Arifkhanov А., & Arifkhanova Х. (2021). THE IMPACT OF EXTERNAL DEBT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ON THE EXAMPLE OF ASIAN COUNTRIES. Economics and Education, (4), 80–88. https://doi.org/10.55439/ECED/vol_iss4/a137

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between the level of external debt and economic growth in the case of 20 non-high-income Asian countries - 4 Central Asian and 16 other non-high-income Asian countries. In this paper, we use a quadratic regression specification for the macro panel data from 1995 to 2017 obtained from World Bank and UN databases to search for a threshold at which the external borrowing begins to have a negative impact on economic growth. Empirical results show the existence of an inverted U-curve relationship between external debt level and GDP per capita growth. The average external debt threshold level varies among sampled countries approximately 40-65 percent of GDP.

https://doi.org/10.55439/ECED/vol_iss4/a137
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