FORECAST SCENARIOS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE TEXTILE INDUSTRY IN THE POST-PANDEMIC PERIOD
PDF (O'zbekcha)

Keywords

post-pandemic period
financial security
textiles
forecasting
textile network

How to Cite

Tursunov Б. . (2022). FORECAST SCENARIOS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE TEXTILE INDUSTRY IN THE POST-PANDEMIC PERIOD. Economics and Education, 23(Maxsus_son), 520–531. https://doi.org/10.55439/ECED/vol23_issMaxsus_son/a700

Abstract

In this paper have been made the forecast scenarios for the growth of textile industry in the country in the post-pandemic period. The author conducted a three-stage study based on statistical data of textile enterprises of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2000-2020, calculated in relative percentages.

https://doi.org/10.55439/ECED/vol23_issMaxsus_son/a700
PDF (O'zbekcha)

References

УЗБЕКИСТАН Навстречу новой экономике Страновой экономический бюллетень лето 2019 Группа Всемирного банкаг.https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/ru/750691563976140831/pdf/Uzbekistan-Toward-a-New-Economy-Country-Economic-Update.pdf.

Маршалл А. Принципы экономической науки. Т. 1. и 2. - М.: Издание РОО, 1996;

Милль Дж. Основы политической экономии. Пер. с анг. – Т. 1-3. – М.: Прогресс, 1980-1981.;

Рикардо Д. Начала политической экономии и налогового обложения. Том 1. Пер. с анг. – М.: Госполитиздат, 1955.;

Смит А. Исследование о природе и причинах богатства народов. – М.: Эксмо, 2007. – Серия: Антология экономической мысли – 960 с.

Amadae, S.M. (2017) Perpetual anarchy: From economic security to financial insecurity. Finance and Society, 3(2): 188-96.;

Amicelle, A. (2017) When finance met security: Back to the War on Drugs and the problem of dirty money. Finance and Society, 3(2): 106-23.

Amoore, L. (2011) Data derivatives: On the emergence of a security risk calculus for our times. Theory, Culture & Society, 28(6): 24-43.;

Ahmad S., Ng Ch., McManusc L. Enterprise risk management (ERM) implementation: Some empirical evidence from large Australian companies. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 164 ( 2014 ) 541 – 547;

Der Derian, J. (1995) The value of security: Hobbes, Marx, Nietzsche and Baudrillard. In: Lipschutz, R. (ed.) On Security. New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 24-45.;

Delas V., Nosova E., Yafinovych O. Financial Security of Enterprises. Procedia Economics and Finance 27 ( 2015 ) 248 – 266;

Бурханов А.У. Молиявий хавфсизлик.Ўқув қўлланма.Иқтисодиёт. 2019, 164 б.;

Турсунов, Б. О. (2021). ЗАВИСИМОСТЬ ЦИКЛИЧЕСКОЙ ДИНАМИКИ ТЕКСТИЛЬНОЙ ПРОМЫШЛЕННОСТИ РЕСПУБЛИКИ УЗБЕКИСТАН ОТ ДИНАМИКИ ПРОМЫШЛЕННОГО ПРОИЗВОДСТВА. Вестник Института экономики РАН, (2), 156-165;

Пардаев М.К., Аминов З.Ю. Корхонанинг иктисодий хавфсизлиги ва уни таъминлаш йўллари. Рисола. Самарканд: Зарафшон, 2008.- 47 бет.;

Tursunov, B. O. (2021). DETERMINANTS OF FINANCIAL SECURITY IN THE TEXTILE INDUSTRY. Экономика: анализы и прогнозы, (3), 41-48.;

Истамов Д.И., Ю.А.Гранаткин, М.М.Мухаммедов, Э.Н.Ходжаев. Экономическая безопасность предприятия и защита коммерческой тайны. Самарканд. 1995.- 152 бет.;

Ишмухаммедов А.Э. Иқтисодий хавфсизлик. Ўқув қўлланма. – Т.: ТДИУ, 2004. – 176 б.

Bidzhoyan D.S., Bogdanova T.K. Modelling the financial stability of an enterprise taking into account macroeconomic indicators // Business informatics. 2016. No. 3(37). Pp.30-36. https://doi.org/10.17323/1998-0663.2016.3.30.37.

Zarova E. Statistical Methodology for Evaluating Business Cycles with the Conditions of Their Synchronization and Harmonization, Statistics, Statistics - Growing Data Sets and Growing Demand for Statistics, IntechOpen, 2018, pp. 27-48.

УЗБЕКИСТАН Навстречу новой экономике Страновой экономический бюллетень лето 2019 Группа Всемирного банкаг. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/ru/750691563976140831/pdf/Uzbekistan-Toward-a-New-Economy-Country-Economic-Update.pdf

Box, G.E.P. and Jenkins, G.M. (1976) Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Revised Edition, Holden Day, San Francisco., https://www.scirp.org/(S(czeh2tfqyw2orz553k1w0r45))/reference/ReferencesPapers.aspx?ReferenceID=1969833.

Эконометрика. Учебник / Под ред. Елисеевой И. И. — 2-е изд. — М.: Финансы и статистика, 2006. — 576 с. — ISBN 5-279-02786-3.

Rob J Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos (2020). Forecasting: Principles and Practice (2nd ed). Monash University, Australia,https://otexts.com/fpp2/intro.html.

Zarova, E. V., & Tursunov, B. O. (2019). Regional features of industrial production dynamics in the research of textile enterprises financial security in Uzbekistan. Vlakna a textil, 28(1), 108-115.

Pankratz, A. (1983) Forecasting with Univariate Box-Jenkins Models. Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9780470316566.

Hoff, J.C. (1983). A practical guide to Box-Jenkins forecasting. Belmont, CA: Lifetime Learning Publications.

Vandaele, W. (1983). Applied Time Series and Box-Jenkins Models. Orlando: Academic Press.

David McDowall, Richard McCleary, Errol E. Meidinger & Richard A. Hay (1980). Interrupted Time Series Analysis. SAGE. https://dx.doi.org/10.4135/9781412984607. Print ISBN: 9780803914933.

http://statsoft.ru/home/textbook/modules/sttimser.html.

https://studme.org/179685/matematika_himiya_fizik/statsionarnye_vremennye_ryady.

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Copyright (c) 2022 Economics and education